Data Suggest Mario Draghi Crashed the Stock Markets


Remark by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi sent stock prices plummeting on Wednesday.

At 7:00 EST on Wednesday morning, the major European stock indices and the American futures and indexes (NYSEARCA:SPY) went crashing into the red after publication of the following remark by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi during Draghi, Global Market Update, ECB, Germany, NYSEARCA:VGK, NYSEARCA:EWG, NYSEARCA:GREK, NYSEARCA:FXI, NYSEARCA:FXYa speech at the Business Forum in Frankfurt:

Germany has so far been largely insulated from some of the difficulties elsewhere in the euro area. But the latest data suggest that these developments are now starting to affect the German economy.

At 7:00, the December 12 Dow Jones Industrials future was at 13,180.  Immediately after that point, it went into an abrupt nosedive.  The major European stock indices did likewise (NYSEARCA:VGK).

Germany’s industrial production declined 1.8 percent in September according to a report released on Wednesday by Destatis.  Economists had anticipated a decline of approximately 0.5 percent (NYSEARCA:EWG).

There has been a “mass resignation” at the Bank of Greece ahead of the Wednesday evening vote by the nation’s parliament to approve controversial austerity measures (NYSEARCA:GREK).

As of 11:18 EST, the Euro STOXX 50 Index sank 1.97 percent to 2,486 (NYSEARCA:VGK).  The FTSE 100 Index fell 1.48 percent to 5,797 (NYSEARCA:EWU).  The German DAX Index dropped 1.79 percent to 7,246 (NYSEARCA:EWG).  France’s CAC 40 Index fell 1.89 percent to 3,413 (NYSEARCA:EWQ).  Spain’s IBEX 35 Index took a 2.50 percent nosedive to 7,641 (NYSEARCA:EWP).  Italy’s FTSE MIB Index sank 2.26 percent to 15,330 (NYSEARCA:EWI).   Three Reasons to Consider Russia

As of 11:26 EST, the euro declined 0.38 percent against the dollar, trading at $1.2765 (NYSEARCA:FXE).  Euro Is Breaking Support

Spain’s ten-year bond yield rose to 5.68 percent on Wednesday from Tuesday’s closing level of 5.66 percent.  Spain’s two-year bond yield climbed to 3.09 percent on Wednesday from Tuesday’s closing level of 3.03 percent (NYSEARCA:EWP).

Italy’s ten-year bond yield ticked upward to 4.94 percent on Wednesday from Tuesday’s closing level of 4.93 percent (NYSEARCA:EWI).

On London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange, December futures for Brent crude oil declined by $3.28 (2.98 percent) to $106.86/bbl. (NYSEARCA:USO).

December Gold futures declined by $3.40 (0.20 percent) to $1,711.60 per ounce (NYSEARCA:GLD).  Corrections in Gold and Silver Could Provide a Buying Opportunity

In China, stocks declined slightly due to disappointing earnings in the financial sector.  The Shanghai Composite Index dipped 0.01 percent to 2,105 (NYSEARCA:FXI).  However, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index climbed 0.71 percent to 22,099 as a result of enthusiasm about President Obama’s reelection, since Mitt Romney’s campaign rhetoric had been unfavorable toward China (NYSEARCA:EWH).

In Japan, stocks declined slightly on Wednesday as a result of disappointing earnings reports from Nissan and electronic component manufacturer Taiyo Yuden.  The yen had another strong day (NYSEARCA:FXY).  The Nikkei 225 Stock Average dipped 0.03 percent to 8,972 (NYSEARCA:EWJ).

American stock index futures had been in positive territory until 7:00 EST, at which point ECB President Mario Draghi’s gloomy remark about Germany hit the wires.  The December 12 Dow Jones Industrials future declined 1.33 percent to 13,065 as of 9:15 EST.  The December 12 S&P 500 future fell 1.04 percent to 1,410 (NYSEARCA:SPY).  The December 12 Nasdaq 100 future dropped 1.11 percent to 2,646.

Bottom line:  The remark by ECB President Mario Draghi about the impact on Germany’s economy from “difficulties elsewhere” provided an example of how central bankers can influence global stock markets with a simple statement.

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